A projected surge in internally managed super fund FUM will “transform” Australia’s investment management landscape, according to new research.
Seventeen per cent of funds under management (FUM) across APRA-regulated superannuation funds were internally managed in 2023, recent analysis from Rainmaker Information has shown.
According to the research house, this figure could grow to 43 per cent over the next two decades.
Larger super funds also displayed a higher inclination towards internal investment management, with current key players including UniSuper, AustralianSuper, Aware Super, Australian Retirement Trust, and Cbus.
This is a significant finding as increasing market concentration among super funds is set to expose more of the market to the investment strategy.
Namely, Rainmaker analysis showed that the biggest five super funds collectively represented half of the market in 2023. Moreover, the 10 largest funds accounted for 75 per cent and the top 20 accounted for 95 per cent.
“This is significant because super funds managing over $100 billion currently manage 31 per cent of their FUM internally, surpassing the internal management proportion for funds in the $50–100 billion range by one-and-a-half times,” the firm said.
Meanwhile, not-for-profit (NFP) super funds – which are poised to grow their market share from 72 per cent to an anticipated 85 per cent by 2043 – managed almost a quarter (23 per cent) of their FUM internally.
However, this only remained a prevalent practice among private sector NFP super funds, while public sector NFP super funds exhibited minimal engagement in this strategy.
“Rainmaker Information projects only 15 per cent of institutional superannuation FUM will be held within retail super funds by 2043, which will drive one-third of all FUM into internal investment management,” commented Alex Dunnin, the firm’s executive director of research and compliance.
According to Dunnin, this shift will “transform” Australia’s investment management landscape.
“With super funds internally managing larger portions of their multitrillion-dollar investment portfolios, more FUM will become ‘uncontestable’ for investment managers. While this will challenge the business models of many investment managers, it will create opportunities for others,” he concluded.
The research house has offered a silver lining after super fund returns saw the end of a five-month streak last month.
A survey of almost 6,000 fund members has identified weakening retirement confidence, particularly among those under 55 years of age, signalling an opportunity for super funds to better engage with members on their retirement journey.
The funds have confirmed the signing of a successor fund transfer deed, moving closer to creating a new $29 billion entity.
A number of measures, including super on Paid Parental Leave, funding to recover unpaid super, and frameworks to encourage investment in the energy transition, have been welcomed by the superannuation industry.
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